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No. 10 St. Mary’s Gaels vs. No. 3 Baylor Bears
2010-03-25

The No. 10 seed St. Mary’s Gaels are meeting up the No. 3 seed Baylor Bears this Friday, March 26, 2010, playing in Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas, tipoff will be at 7:27 pm eastern time.

This game sets up to be the best battle of the big men so far in this NCAA tournament. Both the St. Mary Gaels’ Omar Samhan and the Baylor Bears' Ekpe Udoh are talented players who can both score and play defense (hey NBA scouts you probably want to watch this game).

The Baylor Bears might think they have the advantage of playing in their home state of Texas but from what I have seen all tournament the St. Mary’s Gaels are rolling and the Bears might have exchanged a home game for a softer opponent.

I expect this game to be close and hard fought, and relatively low scoring, lots of defense; in fact I would not be at all too surprised if this game came down to free throws. If the game does go as I expect it to turnout the St. Mary’s Gaels might be able to move on to the Elite 8 if they make more from the free throw line then the Baylor Bears, then they have got a good chance to pull off the upset, they can really have a Prince Charming put on the Cinderella slippers on them again. This game will be pretty much all set offenses and big bodies banging in the paint, if you like that then this is the game for you.

Saint Mary Gaels have great balance with Omar Samhan inside and a bunch of shooters on the outside. Samhan and the Gaels were able to take exploit Villanova’s lack of size at the bottom, but doing so again against Baylor will not be nearly as easy. 7 footer Josh Lomers, 6 foot 10 Ekpe Udoh and 6 foot 10 Anthony Jones figures to make it more difficult for Samhan to do his job inside. That means the Gaels will likely have to rely more heavily on its perimeter shooting as well if it hopes to add another victim to their list.

Even though the Gaels are making the West Coast Conference look good, and even though Dunn and Carter are a great duo, the Saint Mary Gaels might not have enough to win the game if Samhan was to be neutralized; the Baylor Bears have already thought of this and have drawn up a game plan to do so. This will be a very exciting game; Baylor is showing they can finish teams off down the stretch.

www.Sportsbook.com has the Baylor Bears as 4.5 point favorites in this game and an over / under of 145 total points. I really want to say that the St. Mary Gaels will prevail in Friday’s game with the Baylor Bears, but all signs point to the Bears beating the Gaels, sorry St. Mary’s your carriage will turn back into a pumpkin.

California Golden Bears vs. Louisville Cardinals
2010-03-20

The number eight and number nine seeds of the South Region will meet up this evening in first round action of the NCAA Tournament at the Jacksonville Veterans Memorial Arena, when the California Golden Bears battle the Louisville Cardinals, tipoff is scheduled at 9:45 pm eastern time.

The Cardinals will be making their 37th appearance in the NCAA Tournament after finishing with a 20 - 12 record. As for the Golden Bears, they won the Pac-10 regular season title, but the team fell to Washington in the PAC-10 conference tournament. However, despite the loss to the Huskies, the Bears still finished with an impressive 23 - 10 mark on the season.

This will be the first ever meeting between the two schools on the court, and the winner will move into the second round where they will take on either Arkansas-Pine Bluff or Duke.

Louisville Cardinals:

The Cardinals have enjoyed plenty of success at the offensive end of the court this year, as the team comes into this tournament averaging 76.3 points per game, behind a good 44.7 percent shooting effort.

Edgar Sosa needs to have a solid game tonight if the Cardinals are looking to move forward in the tournament. Sosa is second for the Cards with 13.3 points per game, and his 145 assists are more than double those of runner up Preston Knowles (71). Another player to look out for is Samardo Samuels, who has been a dominating force in the paint on the season for Louisville, as the forward is leading the team with 15.3 points per game and 7 rebounds per game.

California Golden Bears:

The Golden Bears were one of the most dangerous scoring teams in the Pac-10 and now California will put its offensive play to the test against the best teams in the country. Coming into this meeting with Louisville the Golden Bears are averaging a healthy 78 points per game, behind a respectable 47.7 percent shooting effort.

The key to the Bears success is Jerome Randle’s play Friday night. Randle leads the Bears with 18.7 points a game, and his 147 assists are nearly double the total of Jorge Gutierrez, who is second on the team with 75. But Randle can’t do it alone; the company around him is also very underrated. Patrick Christopher teams up with Randle in the backcourt, and has been just as important to Cal's success, as the guard is posting 16 points per game, while also grabbing 5.4 rebounds per game. Working hard in the frontcourt has been Theo Robertson and Jamal Boykin, as Robertson is gaining 14.1 points per game, while Boykin is putting in 12 points per game, to go along with team best 6.7 rebounds per game.

After looking at the line at www.sportsbook.com the Louisville Cardinals are currently 1 point underdogs, but this game can go either. I would stay away from this game, well at least stay away from putting money on a winner or loser. What I like about this game is the over, with both teams having multiple scorers and little defense this should be one of the highest games in the tournament.

CBB: North Carolina at Duke
2010-03-08

The ESPN Gameday crew will be in Durham on Saturday night for another installment of college basketball’s greatest rivalry, as Duke hosts North Carolina.

The Duke Blue Devils won the earlier meeting in Chapel Hill, somewhat comfortably, but could be hard pressed to beat a pointspread that more accurately reflects UNC’s struggles this time around. However, this could be one of those games where oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com over-adjust for the rivalry aspect while ignoring the obvious signs.

Given the choice, ESPN would probably rather telecast great moments in North Carolina and Duke history, since this doesn’t set up to be one. The UNC Tar Heels (16-14, 10-18 ATS) started the season with seven McDonald’s All-Americans and as the regular season closes, it appears Roy Williams picked up seven guys that ate at Micky D’s in his most frustrating season.

North Carolina has shown a pulse lately winning and covering last two contests, yet UNC is 0-9 ATS facing teams outscoring foes by eight or more points after 15 or more contests.

It’s senior night for starters G Jon Scheyer, C Brian Zoubek and F Lance Thomas and what better way to go out than ACC regular season champs (or co-champs) with a win over their most hated rival.

This is most versatile Duke (25-5, 17-11-1 ATS) team in a number of seasons as the year wore on, still needing Scheyer, Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler to score, but the contributions have been coming in from different areas on game by game basis. The Blue Devils are 16-0 and 10-5 ATS at Cameron Indoor Stadium this campaign, winning by super-sized 26.1 points per game.

This however is normally very competitive matchup, with the Dukies 7-5 with 2-10 ATS home record against Carolina Blue since 1997. The StatFox Power Line shows Duke by 16.

CBB: Two Top 5 Teams in Action
2010-02-26

Duke and Kentucky are both hopeful of being on the “top line”, where the four #1 seeds of the NCAA Tournament will reside in just over two weeks. However, neither can afford to take the upcoming action off, starting Thursday night on ESPN2. The Blue Devils and Wildcats will be the host teams in a evening doubleheader on the deuce, with both teams booked as heavy favorites at Sportsbook.com.

Tulsa at Duke 7:00E

The last several years, coach Mike Krzyzewski has scheduled one of these non-conference games in February with two things in mind. First, to break up the strain of playing in the ACC, and two, to give his players a chance to face a team fighting to earn a NCAA berth. This current collection of Blue Devils’ players has never won a ACC title and that is foremost on their minds, leading Maryland by a game, nonetheless this is great preparation, taking on an unknown opponent as his club is starting to gel, having won six straight and eight of nine (5-3-1 ATS).

Coach K knows what he’s going to get from his Big Three (Jon Scheyer, Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler) and recently he’s been working on putting certain players like Lance Thomas, center Brian Zoubek and the Plumlee brothers in more comfortable positions on the floor for them to score. Duke (23-4, 16-9-1 ATS) is 15-0 and 10-4 ATS at home this season.

With Memphis presumably down at the start of the year, Tulsa (19-8, 7-16-1 ATS) believed this might be the opportunity to take charge of Conference USA, with its two senior leaders. Unfortunately the rest of the league has not cooperated and the Golden Hurricane is a distant fifth in the league, having lost four of their last five to teams that are ahead of them in the standings. Coach Doug Wojcik has never been able to develop a bench and possibly the heavy minutes the starters are playing is taking a toll. Tulsa has not covered a spread since Jan. 16, a span of 10 games.

Sportsbook.com has Duke as 18-point favorites and they are 12-2 and 8-5 ATS in non-conference action. The Blue Devils are 13-1 and 9-3-1 ATS with three or more days off. Tulsa is 0-7-1 ATS taking on a team with winning record and is 4-10 ATS off a spread loss, including eight failures in a row.

South Carolina at Kentucky 9:00E

The Wildcats will seek revenge for their lone defeat this season at the hands of the Gamecocks. In the 68-62 loss, Kentucky was “Downey-ized” by Devan Downey, who torched them for 30 points. One important element from the earlier matchup that played a key role was the undersized South Carolina squad held a +4 rebounding edge. Kentucky (26-1, 14-11 ATS) no doubt will seek redemption and is 13-4 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a road favorite.

Since their moment of the year, South Carolina (14-12, 9-14 ATS) has returned to mediocrity, a slightly above average squad with limited ability in the paint and dependent on Downey to score and distribute the ball to others. The Gamecocks have shriveled up as visitors, with a 1-8 and 2-7 ATS record away from Columbia. South Carolina will need an even better performance to sweep Kentucky, but they are 3-12 ATS vs. shooting teams making 45 percent or more of their shots this season.

Big Blue is 11-1 and 8-4 ATS against South Carolina in Lexington, with the last seven contests going OVER the number and they are a solid 16.5-point favorite to avenge the earlier loss.

CBB: Tennessee at Kentucky (9:00 PM ET, ESPN)
2010-02-12

Saturday’s feature game, as judged by the ESPN Gameday Crew’s visit to Lexington, pits Tennessee vs. Kentucky. The Wildcats are ranked #2 in the country and have been beaten just once all season long. The Volunteers have already beaten the #1 team in the country, Kansas, but at other times have looked just awful. Which of coach Bruce Pearl’s teams, Jekyll or Hyde, shows up for this showdown will have a major impact on which team wins and/or covers the pointspread. Speaking of which, get the latest price for this SEC dual on the Sportsbook.com LIVE ODDS page.

You have to tip your cap to coach Pearl. While most coaches and players talk about overcoming adversity, which many people never quite grasp, this Tennessee (18-5, 9-11 ATS) club really has with earlier suspensions that rocked the team. It says a lot about the coach and players. Though basketball is a team game, each individual had to make conscious decision to played better, work harder and the basketball world marvels at what the Volunteers have been able to accomplish since the New Year began. Pearl will need another trick up his sleeve at Kentucky; however the Vols are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs, including the rear-end kicking they received at Vandy this past Tuesday.

All the early discussion was how terrific guard John Wall was, the best point guard since Jason Kidd coming into college. Wall has not disappointed anyone with his singular play, but as the season has worn on, center DeMarcus Cousins has turned into a double-double machine, and perhaps even more important to the team’s success. He wants the ball when Kentucky (23-1, 11-11 ATS) needs a basket and as opposed to many 6’11 big guys, he’s got a good stroke from the free throw line. One of the most striking aspects of these two and fellow freshman Eric Bledsoe, they love to compete and when Big Blue is off a non-cover like what happened against Alabama the last time out, they are 20-8 ATS, including the current group at 10-0 SU & 7-1 ATS.

The Wildcats have taken 10 of last 12 at Rupp Arena vs. the Vols, though are just 6-6 ATS.

The StatFox Power Line shows Kentucky by 12, and many bettors may take particular interest in the total for this contest, since both clubs love to get up & down the court.

CBB: Wisconsin at Purdue (7:00 PM ET, ESPN)
2010-01-29

Annually one of the most confounding teams in the country is Wisconsin. Even though Bo Ryan can X and O with the best in college basketball, a look at the preseason roster never screams of Top 25 talent. Yet here the Badgers are, in second place the Big Ten Conference with a 6-2 record. On Thursday night, they’ll look for a season sweep of Purdue, a team that had owned them prior to the win in Madison a few weeks ago. Purdue is an 8-point favorite at Sportsbook.com, and being backed by most bettors.

Wisconsin (16-4, 10-8 ATS) leans heavy on guard Trevon Hughes, with versatile forward Jon Leuer out three to four more weeks with broken wrist. Wisconsin is 7-3 ATS vs. teams like Purdue allowing 64 or less points a game this season.

Last week, the Boilermakers (16-3, 9-10 ATS) broke their three-game losing skid at Illinois 84-78, getting a lift from unlikely source. John Hart, who had played all of 33 minutes and wasn’t even in official score book for that game, came off the bench to score 14 points (12 in second half) to lead the Purdue charge. Coach Matt Painter hopes this leads to continual production off the bench. Purdue is 15-7 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last three seasons.

Wisconsin has seen guard Jordan Taylor rise to the occasion with the absence of Leuer, scoring and displaying all around floor game. This could be a challenging spot the Badgers; since they are 4-9-1 ATS in road games vs. teams with a winning home record.

Purdue is still jittery home favorite, sporting a 9-1 SU but .500 spread record. The win at Champaign was followed up with a first half mauling of Michigan, 43-27, but they let backers down in the second half by being outscored by six points and failing to cover the 13-point spread.

The Boilers have normally blasted the Badgers at home and are on 8-1 SU and ATS run against them, which is why Sportsbook.com has them as 8-point favorites. Purdue is 9-2 when playing with three or more days rest, nonetheless is vile 3-8 ATS with this much time to practice.

Wisconsin took the earlier meeting 73-66 at the Kohl Center as one-point home underdogs and has covered six of its last seven Thursday throw-downs.

This Big Ten battle is in the 7:00 Eastern Time slot on ESPN with total of 126 and the Badgers are 1-10 UNDER on the road. Purdue is 6-2 OVER on Thursday nights.

The StatFox Power Line shows Purdue by 4, indicating a possible over-pricing.

CBB: Purdue at Northwestern (5:30 PM ET, BTN)
2010-01-15

Purdue was not expected to lose two games in the Big Ten all season long, yet after four league games, the Boilermakers are 2-2 and facing the prospects of falling behind further should they lose what figures to be a tough contest at Northwestern on Saturday. The Wildcats are always known as a pesky home underdog, and having reached the Top 25 earlier this season, actually have the talent to compete now. With Purdue playing as the road chalk, Sportsbook.com bettors figure to be embracing their chances. Be sure to check the latest breakdown on the BETTING TRENDS page.

Basketball prognosticators knew Purdue (14-2, 8-8 ATS) was going to be a very good team coming into the season. The Boilermakers had experience, continuity of playing together for a couple of years and a strong work ethic. What has transformed Purdue into a national power is the elementary aspects of basketball. They force almost eight more turnovers than they commit, they are much better rebounding team than a season ago and they make roughly 75 percent of their free throw attempts to ice away games. They have hit a bump the last couple of contests though, not playing 40 minutes of basketball in either game. Purdue will have to find itself quickly since they are on a skid of 3-8 ATS on the road.

Northwestern’s (12-4, 8-4 ATS) confounding start landed them in the Top 25 briefly; however conference play has brought about new challenges. The Wildcats, despite severe injuries had thrived because of the play of mighty mite, 5’8 Michael “Juice” Thompson. He ignited the offense by scoring and setting up teammates. Big Ten opponents have taken notice though, and have squeezed “Juice”, not allowing him to roam as freely. As a result, they are 1-3 in league play to date. Conference clubs have also been prepared for the Wildcats various zone defenses. Northwestern lost to Wisconsin at home in last encounter and is 5-9 ATS after a defeat.

The Cats have played well against Purdue with a 10-4 ATS record. The StatFox Power Line shows Purdue by 7.