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2010 NCAA Basketball Championship: No. 5 Butler Bulldogs vs. No. 1 Duke Blue Devils
2010-04-06

The No. 5 seed Butler Bulldogs will be facing the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils; Monday April 5, 2010, tip-off is at 9:15pm on CBS. www.Sportsbook.com had the opening line of this game with the Duke Blue Devils as -6.5 favorites, as I write this preview the line has already moved to 7.5 and the over / under is at 128.5 points. The Blue Devils have proved that they have the talent to beat any opponent. The Duke Blue Devils are the only school to have a better scoring average then the Butler Bulldogs; I guess it was fate that these two teams met at the National Championship game.

When the 2010 NCAA national title game rolls on Monday night, the Duke Blue Devils will be making its first NCAA tournament title appearance since 2001 which is also the last time this prolific program won the championship. Standing in their way will be a team from a no named conference that nobody has cared to believe is a true basketball beast.

Whether the Butler Bulldogs win or lose when they meet the Duke Blue Devils as significant underdogs, they have proven their point. The Butler Bulldogs can attain that dream when they face, what everyone believes has been the best team in this year’s 2010 tournament thus far. If there is one sure bet that we know about Monday night, the Bulldogs will give it their all and even a moneyline bet on these guys wouldn’t be the worst bet you could make.

Now on to the important stuff: The final March Madness Betting Preview

First off let’s look at how good the Butler Bulldogs are they have 25 straight victories and are 33 - 4, 17 - 20 against the spread.

The Butler Bulldogs are 8 - 3 in their last 11 NCAA Tourney games and 5 - 1 against the spread in their last six.

The Blue Devils are 5 - 0 against the spread during this 2010 NCAA Tournament.

Both the Butler Bulldogs (15 - 20 over / under) and the Duke Blue Devils (16 - 22 over / under) have been good under plays this season. The under is 9 - 1 in Butler’s last 10 overall and 2 - 4 in Duke’s last six overall.

Bulldogs’ defense has made a fool of the over/under lines during the tournament. Bulldogs’ games have finished below the total by an average of 15 points in the last four games.

Butler’s tight defense against Duke’s on-point offense will be the tale of Monday night’s National Championship game. Of their last five games the Butler Bulldogs have not let their opponents score more than 60 points on them, a testament to their coach and their will to play. Add to that, the Bulldogs have limited 12 of their last 13 teams they’ve played against to less than 60 points. Even though the Bulldogs shot 30.6 percent from the floor they were still able to frustrate the Michigan State Spartans.

The Blue Devils have unsuccessful reached the 60 point mark only once this whole season, that is only once in 38 games. The Duke Blue Devils put in 78 points in each of their past two games, which were wins over the Baylor Bears in the South Region final and over the West Virginia Mountaineers.

Go to www.sportsbook.com to make your bet on the Duke Blue Devils at -7.5 point favorites, sorry Bulldogs, at least you made it this far.

Final Four Preview: No. 2 Seed West Virginia Mountaineers vs. No. 1 Seed Duke Blue Devils
2010-04-05

The streak is finally over for the Duke Blue Devils, who are back in the Final Four for the first time since 2004 after defeating the Baylor Bears 78 to 71. The Baylor Bears were the first team in the tourney to successfully shut down Kyle Singler, keeping the player from making a single shot. With Singler struggling Nolan Smith and Jon Scheyer had to come up big and they came though, both combing to score 49 points and making 9 shots behind the arc. Smith's 29 points was a career best, which also included a three pointer to give the Blue Devils the lead for good. Against West Virginia, the Blue Devils will need to make sure they don't just shoot the long ball like what the Wildcats did.

The Mountaineers knowing that the Wildcats are a shaky three point shooting team Coach Huggins had a game plan to play tight and saw the Wildcats shoot horribly to a 73 to 66 Mountaineer victory. Without Darryl Bryant Joe Mazzulla tied a career high with 17 points. With Mazzulla in foul trouble in the last game the West Virginia Mountaineers found they could rely on Devin Ebanks and Da'Sean Butler to handle the ball in case he isn’t in the game. The Blue Devils are a much better shooting team than the Wildcats and their backcourt is coming in hot. They have the talent and will to win, but they need to try to avoid foul trouble.

West Virginia's win against Kentucky just seems too much of an anomaly. All their points pretty much came from threes and nothing else. I don't see that happening from a team that shoots a 33.6 percent shooting behind the arc. Add to that, plus the fact the Mountaineers got handled on the offensive boards, where the Blue Devils make their living. Both teams defend well, but Duke plays more consistent on offense.

Sportsbook.com has the Duke Blue Devils has 2.5 point favorites over the West Virginia Mountaineers, while the over / under is at 131 points right now. When it comes to college basketball betting this is a tough. Normally bettors would think Duke is an easy bet, but West Virginia didn’t get to the final four on smoke and mirror.

West Virginia Mountaineers scored a big 45 points in the second half against the Kentucky Wildcats, this helped them go to the Final Four as well as cover the 4 point spread and also helped the OVER, which was at 134.

The Blue Devils beat Baylor 78 – 71 to cover the 5 point spread, coming out of the Elite 8. The total score of that game went OVER the 137.5 points. Key points for college basketball bettors to keep in mind.

Fun Facts to Consider:
Mountaineers are 5 - 0 straight up in its last 5 games
The total has gone under in 7 of West Virginia’s last 8 games
Mountaineers are 4 and 1 ATS in its last 5 games
Blue Devils are 5 - 0 straight up in its last 5 games
The total has gone under in 4 of Duke’s last 5 games
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

These are two teams are evenly matched plus the fact that they have great coaches. I’m going with the Blue Devils ATS since their backcourt looks so good in the Elite 8 and their frontcourt has really become unstoppable.

Final Four Preview: No. 5 Butler Bulldogs vs. No. 5 Michigan State Spartans
2010-04-05

The Michigan State Spartans are back in the Final Four for the second consecutive season, also for the 6th time in 12 years! In addition to the game clinching free throws, Morgan had his 6th double double of the basketball season, scoring 13 points and pulling down a 10 boards against a the Tennessee Vols who refused to go away peacefully. Junior Durrell Summers led scorers with 21 points on 8 of 10 shooting and his avg. is 22.5 ppg in the 2010 NCAA Tourney, almost 12 points more than his season average. The Michigan State Spartans have won two games in the absence of point guard Kalin Lucas as Summers, Draymond Green and Korie Lucious have picked up the scoring with the team's leading scorer out.

The MSU Spartans are the only team left in the tournament with experience at this level. They did it last year, and a big part of this team's contributors played lots of minutes the team last year. Coach Izzo has a March legacy, and he's lost just three times in the second game of NCAA Tournament weekends in his career. This means, if he gets to the championship game, he won’t be easy to beat. Durrell Summers, Korie Lucious and Draymond Green join Morgan in playing the best basketball of their careers. MSU could be the most athletic team left.

The Butler Bulldogs and the Michigan State Spartans are at opposite ends of the world in terms of experience in playing in this tournament, as the Bulldogs are making the first Final Four appearance in school history after beating Kansas State on Saturday 63 – 56. The Butler Bulldogs, who have now won an impressive 24 straight games, are allowing a only 56.5 ppg in the tourney and haven't allowed to team to score 60 or more points in a game since Feb. 26, 2010. The Bulldogs defense is led by guard Willie Veasley, the Horizon League Defensive Player of the Year, who, with the help of Ronald Nored, held Kansas State's backcourt duo of Denis Clemente and Jacob Pullen scoreless for almost 30 minutes. It’s not all hype this Butler Bulldogs team can play.

Now to the important section of this article the college basketball betting picks. www.sportsbook.com has Butler favorites by 1.5 points with the over / under at 126.

The Michigan State Spartans are 27 - 8 money line and 14 - 20 ATS. The Butler Bulldogs are 32 - 4 money line and 16 - 20 ATS. When they have played common teams, the MSU Spartans are 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are 4-1 outright, but just 2-3 ATS.

The Spartans averages 72.5 ppg against teams normally allowing 66 points. This is on 47.2 percent shooting to teams that usually only permit just 42.4 percent.
The stats for the Big 10 schools are even more staggering on the defensive end. They allow only 64 points per game against teams that normally get only 69.4 points, which makes them a 40.6 percent shooting team when they are usually a 44.2 percent shooting team.

Butler scores 69.4 ppg against teams that score about 66.7 on 45 percent shooting versus 42.9 percent. They are not slugs on defense either, they only allow 59.6 points per game where teams usually shoot at 44.6 percent.

Michigan State is 25-10 in the NCAA Tournament ATS all time. Butler is 43-21 outside the conference ATS. If we look at over / under trends the Spartans have gone over 8 - 0 against the Horizon League, but under 30-12 when they are underdogs. All key points for college basketball bettors to keep an eye on.

I predict that the Spartans will beat out the Bulldogs, Izzo will get his team ready and I think the bright lights and big atmosphere will be too much for Butler. MSU +1.5

NBA & Final Four pieces - pictures of Celtics C Kevin Garnett and West Virginia's Desean Butler attached
2010-03-31

NBA: Aging Boston in therapeutic system

For over two and half months, the Boston Celtics had listened to how old they have gotten, with a 17-19 record since Christmas Day and crushing backers with an even worse 12-22-2 ATS mark in the same time span. Critics of the team thought Boston should replace the Gatorade bottles with Geritol to get more iron and minerals into this aging group. Lately though, things have turned around, and the Celtics would like to keep the positive momentum going in a home dual with Oklahoma City. The hosts are a 3.5-point favorite according to Sportsbook.com.

On March 15, Boston (47-26) had apparently had enough of this “old men” talk and started playing basketball as most had expected from them, winning six of seven and covering five times. Doc Rivers club was in a position to make a statement that they indeed were turning the corner, hosting a sizzling San Antonio squad at home as 3.5-point favorites this past Sunday.

Instead, the Celtics were lamentable, missing 13 of 14 three-point shot heaves, shooting 37 percent for the game, on the way to a season low in scoring of 73 points in 21-point thrashing. Even post-game comments were not about to change people’s perception that this Boston team was turning into the USS Constitution (known as ‘Old Ironsides’), which is stationed in the nearby harbor.

“This does not change our progress,” said 13-year veteran Ray Allen unconvincingly. “You trip up a little here, but it doesn’t change the mission we’re on or the direction we’re heading.”

The Celtics have had over 69 hours to think about Spurs debacle and get ready for one of the young and up and coming teams in the NBA, Oklahoma City (45-28). The Thunder is in sixth place in the Western Conference, led by Kevin Durant and a host of several exciting and skilled players all under 25 years of age. Oklahoma City has been one of finest bets in the NBA all season, ranked third at 43-30 ATS.

Boston on the other hand is play against material, ranked 29th at 30-41-2 ATS, due to an incredibly poor home record of 11-24-1 ATS.

Can the C’s turn it around quickly? Sportsbook.com oddsmakers have made Boston 3.5-point favorites, even with Paul Pierce and Kendrick Perkins listed as questionable and today’s super situation gives them more than fighting chance.